MARC OWEN-BANKS - Horse Racing Tipping Advisory Service

One member is now blogging the selections on a daily basis, PLAYING IT SAFE on Blogspot

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 Marc Owen-Banks


This is the BLOG section where I will let you know what's going on on a day to day basis. That's not to say I will post everyday, but I will do the best I can to report the good, the bad and the ugly of the daily action.

Friday 30th July 2010

Exciting times at MOB HQ as the Winter package details are finalized and released. They will be available for subscription in the next couple of weeks. But no rush yet, we still have a lot of summer to enjoy

Just a quick note that I am taking no further new members for the summer flat racing season. In the meantime, if you would like to go on the mailing list, i have news of Winter membership for National Hunt and All weather packages coming out in the next week or so.

Two separate packages will be available this winter or buy both together
Released separately, feedback from members of last winter expressed a wish to receive just the jumps tip or the AW tips, and now this is available. However, all the tips are still available at a industry competitive price in a joint package

National Hunt Only - 1st November 2010 - 30th April 2011 Includes Cheltenham, Kempton and Aintree.
Full term package just £190
Monthly "Hop on - Hop off" subscription of £35 per month

Winter All Weather Package - 1st November - 30th April 2011 For the Handicap "good things"
Full Term package just £150
Monthly "Dip in - Dip out" subscription of £25 per month

Buy both together for just £250 or £45 per month if ordered before 15th October 2010.

E-mail: info@mob-horseracing-tips.com to be added and get first option on the Winter packages when membership space is released. Only 100 subscriptions across both packages will be available

 

Friday 16th July 2010

Two seconds this week have caused frustration. that frustration topped off by Umverti, a tip from the beginning of the month adding tot he list of tips that have scored on their very next outing when not followed. I will not be doing anything retrospectively, but may for a short while trial having an alert set up to watch next time out and start tracking the success or failure of previous tips on their next run. I know for sure, over the past month it would have been a very profitable angle.

Results Spreadsheet upgrade;

I have decided to undertake a huge job. Many years ago, I used to keep very much the same record spreadsheet as I do know. however it also had every single piece of information on it you could ever wish for. It included, the trainer, the jockey, the distance of race, class etc etc etc. When I started making the new sheet when this service began, I decided this was too much to record and perhaps it was giving me too much to look at. in effect over analyzing results, but over the last couple of days, I have found myself wanting to know that information once again, so I can again analyze what the trends might be since November 2008. It a completely huge job as you can imagine, and I think in this ever moving betting world where more and more opportunity is in the market for trading on the exchanges, I shall also look at how price of every single one of the tips I have made since that time has traded in running to see if perhaps there are angles to be taken from there too. With as many tips as there have been over the past 18 months or so, it will be a huge job, and will take a huge amount of time, but I think it will ultimately be time well spent, and I am looking forward to getting under, way indeed complete to analyze how these angles have shaped

Don't forget the current spreadsheet can be downloaded on the RESULTS page of the website

Saturday 10th July 2010

It's been a slow start to the month and a -3point deficit at present, alleviated by a win from Sea Lord for us on Friday 9th. Few tips thus far this month as opportunities have looked to be limited. we have had a couple of nice places, but playing win only on those was frustrating. Plenty of eyecatchers over the past week have gone in the book and there was one notable newcomer that didn't actually race that is in the book. I think it's primed to win on debut, and after attracting some serious support in the market it was pulled from the race. We will be watching closely for this one we have had a word on when it appears in the nest week or so.

Monday 5th July

Someone has asked why I don't shout more when I have winners. Such as the last couple of weeks. Well the reason is because, its only a small step to a bigger goal. Put it this way, savings account investments are returning pretty poor interest at present due to the very low base rates. This serves as a reminder that to make money from horseracing, we have to get our mindset away from the get rich quick ideas and consider the investment as long term. Of course a winner at evens gives us a 100% return on investment. Something you'll never get from the banks. Of course not every selection wins, neither does every other, but by maintaining a strike rate above the level required to break even will make a return on investment. Each bet placed, is like adding another deposit to a savings account, only the difference is, the deposit into a betting account and the subsequent transaction is more fluid than savings. Savings sit there and grow, at a painfully slow rate, at which you are also taxed I might add. With betting investments each deposit either disappears into the ether, or gets returned immediately with growth. This is where a separate betting bank becomes essential. Say you have an investment of £1000 which is sitting in your bank account, you would use a betting account in much the same way. It would £1000 which sits in an account for the sole purpose of investment. This way it is easier to keep track of how the investment/s are performing.
 
Results of the service for the past 12 months From 1st July 2009 - 30th June 2010
 
Bets 524
 
P/L  to single point level stakes
 
Industry Sp  +39.58  (7.5%ROI)
Betfair Sp +148.62 - 5% = +141.18 (26.94%ROI)
 
So to Betfair Sp including a 5% reduction for commission, we would have made a 26.94% return on our investment, or for every £100 invested we would made a profit of £26.94. Even at Industry Sp's we would have got £7.50 for every £100 invested. Can you imagine Lloyds giving back £750 for £10,000 invested for 12 months. Not on your Nelly.
 
So, the only time I shout, is when my tracking ROI is above bank rates, most days come winners or losers, and i know my return on investment is better than giving it to the banks and not having a clue what they are actually doing with my money. At least I can watch my money hurtling around Tattenham corner. It means that I am still shouting when, after coming off the bend, I know we shan't be adding to the fund, and have lost a little capital, because in the long term I am still ahead of the game. I wont get rich quick betting on horses, and neither will you, (unless we stick 6 at double figure odds in an acca and they all romp home), but we will get rich quicker than sticking the same money in a bank and waiting for them to pay the same amount of interest on our money.

For this weeks investments, and indeed this months, click the subscribe button on the right to start finding out what we are betting on, and doing to make 26% return on our investments

 

Sunday 4th July 2010

We were well and truly Clive Coxed yesterday, picking two of his runners as the days investments, we were horrified to one selection, DUNN'O beaten into third by a stablemate at 33/1!!!!!!! This all happened whilst i was playing Golf in Cheltenham, (Brickhampton Court - lovely course) and before i went to test a new Italian Restaurant which for the time being will remain nameless. It was 100% the worst dining experience of my life. And bearing in mind I've eaten at Gary Rhodes, believe me it takes some doing. When I say dining, I term it loosely as the food really never arrived and as for the wine which was dumped on the end of the table uncorked, well!!

Anyway, Good to see Ryan Moore being pushed for the jockeys title, although Hanagan has had around 100 more rides that Ryan, he has maintained a similar strike rate and leads by 9 at present. h has also provided followers with a level stakes profit on all his rides this season, something which because of the price Ryan Moore would never be able to achieve. So Hanagan leads the winners table, but Moore is ahead on the prize money side of things, having accumulated four times the cash Hanagan has. Richard Hughes is ion the hunt, and bearing in mind the number of rides he has, could be worth a little interest in the title race, just one win behind Moore at this stage and trading in the 9/1 range.

Wednesday 30th June 2010

It was a quiet week to finish the month with just four selections. But with two of the four going in to score, both backed, the early prices were great and the Betfair Sp's once again saw us with better looking pockets.

Once again, even with a full 5% commision deducted, the Betfair Sp on this months profits gave a 70% better return than Industry Sp. No wonder the high street shops are so quiet these days.

The results are up to date on the results page, and click the link to download the latest update

Thursday 24th June 2010

Another two from four with a selection a day since Monday has seen a place bet score and Tom Folan going in today. the odds haven't been great but enough to see a nice clear profit for the week so far. it would have been so much better if Goodbye Cash had finished one place better than his runner up spot on Wednesday at 20/1. Still, the bar has been well and truly rattled over the last week or so, and a couple of nice scores too! June has turned out to be pretty good so far

Sunday 20th June 2010

Perhaps the secret is keeping the blog and website update d as the corner seems to have been well and truly turned in the past week. Good winners at Ascot and on the away tracks have got things turned around as we are in double figure single point stake profit for the month and turning around what was two poor months previously. Cill Railaig finished off the week at Ascot in fine style by winning at odds of 16/1 for members, and if advice of Betfair Sp was heeded then a bumper 22.35 was paid by the blue boys.

Onwards and upwards

Monday 14th June 2010

It has been a long time since the last update on this section of the site, and indeed any section of the site. the past 2 months have not been the easiest, and whilst the losses incurred are not nice, they are an inevitable occurrence during any long term strategy of betting. They come as very mentally testing and whilst many other services have disappeared during the bad times in the first 6 months of 2010, MOB is going nowhere. There is nowhere to hide, the results are in the results section for everyone to see, but if you don't want to download the full results i can tell you we have made a loss of 37 points in the last two months. Not to panic though, if last June, July and August are anything to go by, we made over 100 points profit to single point level stakes last summer, wiping out previous months losses then. The flat season is more than underway and the form is really settled and much easier to read.

If you have any questions about the service feel free to contact me on the address below.

All the best

Marc

Saturday 3rd April

It was nice to have the day off yesterday, although the way racing is changing, it my have been the last UK Good Friday race free day.

I had three selections today, two of which came in a price bracket I don't generally play, but the reappearances of the pair were much anticipated. Both available at 2.5+ on Betfair at a point, Pipette scored whilst Azizi got backed and found an huge improver too good. With a final selection getting nudged into second it was a day of ifs and buts. Ultimately a 0.5pt loss on the day having covered a pair at prices which my head says I shouldn't. Having said that, without the one winner at 2.78 on BFSP the day would have finished a whole 1 point down, but as it is we lose less than half a point.

I don't generally tip below 4/1, if hardly ever, but should a 50% strike rate be maintained on prices at 6/4 and above, it would return a nice profit long term so there could be an argument for keeping them in. However at the prices, the long term return on investment level would drop as the exposure to loss goes up. So rather than keep them out of the picture completely, continued diligent selection will be employed. [But not very often - it puts stress on the old ticker]

The bigger prices are so much more fun and so much more rewarding. Sunday looks to have a handful to play with

MOB

Thursday 1st April 2010

I have started this new page as somewhere to come and read on a daily basis should you so wish. Also, the latest news section in the right hand side bar is not big enough, or indeed set up for a blogging feel. This page is blank and basic and will serve its purpose.

I very nearly ended up the fool today after advising a place only bet on Kirkhammerton at Ludlow. he was sent off the 40/1 outsider and stayed on really well to go down only 11/2 lengths to the favourite, returning at 3.85 at Betfair Sp for the place, which was less than the fractional split of the 40/1 minus the one point lost win stake, but we were still being offered three places on Betfair after withdrawals. Them's the breaks sometime, and we get off to a winning start for the month of April. Looking forward to a big month, and a great Aintree festival.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Summer Membership Closed!

See news page for details of Winter membership options

Results Spreadsheet upgrade!!.

Read about it by clicking here

26% ROI for past year

Thats right! Over the past 12 months, members have made £26 for every £100 invested in the 524 bets we have advised. £100 in the bank would have got you about 80p if you were lucky. Betting is not about getting rich quick, but its about a good form of investment if you know what you are doing. Click subscribe to join the growing bad of profit makers with Marc Owen-Banks

Don't miss it, subscribe now by clicking the button above WE DON'T GAMBLE here at MOB!

 

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Last modified: 07/29/10